Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1149.293099 1304.781840 1477.550677 1684.460627 1926.442361 2201.586683 2539.681494
2025-08-31 914.742819 1119.980375 1369.471581 1698.051806 2123.803540 2662.877522 3406.802272
2025-09-07 796.074538 1023.358011 1316.346631 1727.547416 2299.172386 3079.946151 4252.248435
2025-09-14 685.365414 914.077119 1222.388531 1676.962521 2344.958842 3314.797525 4875.838157
2025-09-21 602.056622 827.804415 1143.673100 1629.201509 2377.478224 3523.256441 5485.139612
2025-09-28 533.488247 752.718444 1069.373089 1573.929968 2384.580793 3685.858139 6041.924034
2025-10-05 505.308171 732.093237 1070.573540 1630.514318 2570.554430 4157.724759 7211.600628
2025-10-12 474.056959 702.922746 1054.503735 1655.842220 2706.104790 4563.046832 8343.590969
2025-10-19 445.457935 674.585892 1035.969210 1673.390207 2828.502626 4961.745877 9546.889786
2025-10-26 419.935908 648.432381 1017.737728 1688.165036 2946.205767 5368.418036 10856.598571
2025-11-02 403.213277 634.818782 1018.434310 1735.418058 3129.599716 5932.103731 12643.571981
2025-11-09 384.079215 615.324837 1006.897440 1758.382391 3268.200279 6427.014579 14397.595974
2025-11-16 364.105369 593.445833 990.386122 1772.582539 3396.751348 6936.295282 16364.370154
2025-11-23 345.191436 571.929004 972.680129 1782.804874 3519.853114 7460.697907 18542.448511
2025-11-30 331.058395 557.567162 966.410253 1814.461645 3693.276314 8136.010702 21358.784308
2025-12-07 307.353055 523.957484 921.073140 1760.829713 3667.724825 8321.457087 22793.820010
2025-12-14 286.277646 493.625813 879.408082 1710.248332 3641.855636 8501.417771 24275.130224
2025-12-21 266.179363 463.714422 836.163312 1651.727526 3589.110616 8601.808952 25536.245235
2025-12-28 260.819891 461.273315 846.689553 1711.638252 3833.342336 9559.470867 30121.587618
2026-01-04 252.270164 452.019225 842.675200 1738.462090 3999.029341 10334.349292 34382.056912
2026-01-11 243.485900 441.651212 835.460007 1757.049017 4146.453277 11090.445848 38919.204867
2026-01-18 235.019300 431.304234 827.399352 1772.700176 4288.743106 11865.777348 43918.946324
2026-01-25 230.109643 427.754111 833.390596 1822.765433 4534.541444 13036.363971 51308.558839